Recent research from the Museum of Australian Democracy shows satisfaction with democracy has more than halved over the past decade.
A number of polls and studies suggest Australian voters are less inclined to exhibit partisan loyalties. Voters are showing interest in political disruptors — mainly non-aligned independents now contesting elections, both state and federal, in growing numbers, and with increasing professionalism. While election cycles can be polarising, particularly at times when there is a national mood to change the government, one of the more fascinating stories of will be the extent to which political independents continue to disrupt the status quo, and the implications of that for the character of the parliaments that are eventually formed.
A hung parliament was seen as an aberration in the federal context, although they are not uncommon at the state level. Once the ramparts of the Australian political system, the major parties have undermined their own stability, which has helped fuel the rise of insurgents.
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The major parties, whatever the eventual result of the , understand that the projection of dysfunction and disunity to the voting public is corrosive to their standing. Both of the major parties have changed their rules to make it more difficult to topple serving leaders. But if the Coalition goes on to endure a massive defeat in , the post-election reckoning could radically reshape the political landscape. Play Video.
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'Whole thing is unravelling': climate change reshaping Australia's forests
A knock-on effect, another study found, was that the area became even more prone to fires. Bowman and colleagues have found that big eucalypts grow slower as temperatures rise and alpine ash forests are at risk of being wiped out because fires are coming along too often. We are going to see this transformation before our eyes.
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The climate change impacts are not only restricted to old-growth forests — the changing climate is also causing problems for groups trying to reforest areas that have been previously cleared. Usually, revegetation projects will gather seeds from the local area to sow or propagate in a practice known as provenance planting.
But two major groups are using climate projection tools to second-guess the changes in rainfall and heat expected in the areas where they are planting. Landcare Australia and Bush Heritage Australia have started to source seeds from places that better match the climate conditions in coming decades.
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Dr Matt Appleby, a senior ecologist at Bush Heritage Australia, says that in about , the group began to see dead patches in a replanting project at Nardoo Hills in Victoria, and the problem worsened each year.
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